Long-time behavior of an SIR model  with perturbed disease transmission coefficient

Nguyen Huu  Du; Nguyen Thanh  Dieu

doi:10.3934/dcdsb.2016105

Article Contents

2016, Volume 21, Issue 10: 3429-3440. Doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2016105

This issue Previous Article Infinitely many solutions of the nonlinear fractional Schrödinger equations Next Article Global classical solutions for mass-conserving, (super)-quadratic reaction-diffusion systems in three and higher space dimensions

Long-time behavior of an SIR model with perturbed disease transmission coefficient

Nguyen Huu Du^1, and
Nguyen Thanh Dieu^2,

1.
Faculty of Mathematics, Mechanics, and Informatics, University of Science-VNU, 334 Nguyen Trai, Thanh Xuan, Hanoi
2.
Department of Mathematics, Vinh University, 182 Le Duan, Vinh, Nghe An

Received: December 2015

Revised: June 2016

Published: December 2016

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Abstract

In this paper, we consider a stochastic SIR model with the perturbed disease transmission coefficient. We determine the threshold $\lambda$ that is used to classify the extinction and permanence of the disease. Precisely, $\lambda<0$ implies that the disease-free $(\frac{\alpha}{\mu}, 0, 0)$ is globally asymptotic stable, i.e., the disease will disappear and the entire population will become susceptible individuals. If $\lambda>0$ the epidemic takes place. In this case, we derive that the Markov process $(S(t), I(t))$ has a unique invariant probability measure. We also characterize the support of a unique invariant probability measure and prove that the transition probability converges to this invariant measures in total variation norm. Our result is considered as an significant improvement over the results in [6,7,11,18].

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Mathematics Subject Classification: 34C12, 60H10, 92D25.

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