An almost periodic malaria transmission model with time-delayed input of vector

Lizhong Qiang; Bin-Guo Wang

doi:10.3934/dcdsb.2017073

Article Contents

2017, Volume 22, Issue 4: 1525-1546. Doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2017073

This issue Previous Article Morse indices and symmetry breaking for the Gelfand equation in expanding annuli Next Article Stability of a viral infection model with state-dependent delay, CTL and antibody immune responses

An almost periodic malaria transmission model with time-delayed input of vector

Lizhong Qiang and
Bin-Guo Wang^,

School of Mathematics and Statistics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China

* Corresponding author:Bin-Guo Wang
* Corresponding author:Bin-Guo Wang

Received: March 31, 2016

Revised: November 30, 2016

Published: August 2017

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Abstract

An almost periodic malaria transmission model with the time-delayed input of vector is considered. It is shown that the disease is uniformly persistent when the basic reproduction ratio $R_{0}>1$, and it will die out when $R_{0} < 1$ under the assumption that there exists a small invasion. Furthermore, the global stability of the disease-free almost periodic state is obtained provided that the disease-induced death rate is null. Finally, we illustrate the above results by numerical simulations and show that the periodic epidemic models may overestimate or underestimate the malaria risk.

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Mathematics Subject Classification: 34C12, 37B55, 92D30.

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Figure 1. Compartmental model for malaria.

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Figure 2. The total number of vector.

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Figure 3. The graph of $\|u(t)\|$ and $\ln\|u(t)\|$ of (26) when $k=2.5$.

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Figure 4. The long-term behavior of vector and human populations when $R_{0}<1$.

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Figure 5. The graph of $\|u(t)\|$ and $\ln\|u(t)\|$ of (26) when $k=5$.

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Figure 6. The long-term behavior of vector and human populations when $R_{0}>1$.

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Figure 7. Relationship between $\widehat{p}$ and $R_{0}$.

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Figure 8. The long-term trend of $\ln\|u(t)\|$ of (27) with $m=2.4$ and $m=2.5$.

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Table 1. The parameters of model and their means.

Parameters	Meaning
$a$	Infection probability from infective humans to susceptible mosquitoes.
$\eta$	Transfer rate of mosquitoes from the exposed class to the infectious class.
$\lambda$	The proportion between the probability of transmission from recovered humans to susceptible vectors and the probability of transmission from infectious humans.
$\gamma_{R}$	Per capita loss rate of immunity for humans.
$\gamma_{E}$	Transfer ratio of humans from the exposed class to the infectious class.
$\gamma_{I}$	Human recovery rate.
$c$	Infection probability from infectious mosquitoes to susceptible humans.
$d_{h}$	Death rate of humans.
$\sigma_{h}$	The diseased-induced rate of humans.
$\Lambda_{h}$	Supplement rate of humans.

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