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January  2018, 23(1): 145-160. doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2018009

Sensitivity of combined chemo-and antiangiogenic therapy results in different models describing cancer growth

Marzena Dolbniak , Malgorzata Kardynska and  Jaroslaw Smieja ,

Systems Engineering Group, Silesian University of Technology, Akademicka 16, Gliwice, 44-100, Poland

* Corresponding author: Jaroslaw Smieja

Received  November 2016 Revised  June 2017 Published  January 2018

Fund Project: This work was supported by the NCN grant DEC-2013/11/B/ST7/01713.

This paper is concerned with analysis of two anticancer therapy models focused on sensitivity of therapy outcome with respect to model structure and parameters. Realistic periodic therapies are considered, combining cytotoxic and antiangiogenic agents, defined on a fixed time horizon. Tumor size at the end of therapy and average tumor size calculated over therapy horizon are chosen to represent therapy outcome. Sensitivity analysis has been performed numerically, concentrating on model parameters and structure at one hand, and on treatment protocol parameters, on the other. The results show that sensitivity of the therapy outcome highly depends on the model structure, helping to discern a good model. Moreover, it is possible to use this analysis to find a good protocol in case of heterogeneous tumors.

Keywords: Chemotherapy, antiangiogenic therapy, sensitivity.
Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary: 58F15, 58F17; Secondary: 53C35.
Citation: Marzena Dolbniak, Malgorzata Kardynska, Jaroslaw Smieja. Sensitivity of combined chemo-and antiangiogenic therapy results in different models describing cancer growth. Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - B, 2018, 23 (1) : 145-160. doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2018009
References:
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K. D. Argyri, D. D. Dionysiou, F. D. Misichroni and G. S. Stamatakos, Numerical simulation of vascular tumour growth under antiangiogenic treatment: Addressing the paradigm of single-agent bevacizumab therapy with the use of experimental data Biology Direct, 11 (2016), p12. doi: 10.1186/s13062-016-0114-9.  Google Scholar

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R. N. Gutenkunst, J. J. Watefall, F. P. Casey, K. S. Brown, C. R. Myers and J. P. Sethna, Universally sloppy parameter sensitivities in systems biology models, PLOS Computational Biology, 3 (2007), 1871-1878.  doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.0030189.  Google Scholar

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P. Hahnfeldt, D. Panigrahy, J. Folkman and L. Hlatky, Tumor development under angiogenic signaling: A dynamical theory of tumor growth, treatment response, and postvascular dormancy, Cancer Research, 19 (1999), 4770-4775.   Google Scholar

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U. Ledzewicz, H. Maurer and H. Schättler, Minimizing Tumor Volume for a Mathematical Model of Anti-Angiogenesis with Linear Pharmacokinetics, Recent Advances in Optimization and its Applications in Engineering (eds. Diehl M., Glineur F., Jarlebring E., Michiels W., (2010), 267-276. doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-12598-0_23.  Google Scholar

[15]

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[16]

B. K. Mannakee, A. P. Ragsdale, M. K. Transtrum and R. N. Gutenkunst, Sloppiness and the geometry of parameter space, Uncertainty in Biology: A Computational Modeling Approach (eds. Geris L., Gomez-Cabrero D.), 17 (2015), 271-299.  doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-21296-8_11.  Google Scholar

[17]

J. Poleszczuk, P. Hahnfeldt and H. Enderling, Therapeutic implications from sensitivity analysis of tumor angiogenesis models PLoS One, 10(2015), e0120007. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0120007.  Google Scholar

[18]

A. Saltelli, Sensitivity Analysis in Practice: A Guide to Assessing Scientific Models, John Wiley & Sons, 2004.  Google Scholar

[19]

A. Saltelli, M. Ratto, S. Tarantola and F. Campolongo, Sensitivity analysis practices: Strategies for model-based inference, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, (2006), 1109-1125.   Google Scholar

[20]

H. Schättler and U. Ledzewicz, Optimal Control for Mathematical Models of Cancer Therapies -an Application of Geometric Methods, Interdisciplinary Applied Mathematics, 42. Springer, New York, 2015. doi: 10.1007/978-1-4939-2972-6.  Google Scholar

[21]

A. Swierniak, M. Kimmel and J. Smieja, Mathematical modeling as a tool for planning anticancer therapy, European Journal of Pharmacology, 625 (2009), 108-121.  doi: 10.1016/j.ejphar.2009.08.041.  Google Scholar

[22]

A. Swierniak, M. Kimmel, J. Smieja, K. Puszynski and K. Psiuk-Maksymowicz, System Engineering Approach to Planning Anticancer Therapies, Springer, 2016. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-28095-0.  Google Scholar

[23]

N. S. Vasudev and A. R. Reynolds, Anti-angiogenic therapy for cancer: Current progress, unresolved questions and future directions, Angiogenesis, 17 (2014), 471-494.  doi: 10.1007/s10456-014-9420-y.  Google Scholar

[24]

J. Welti, S. Loges, S. Dimmeler and P. Carmeliet, Recent molecular discoveries in angiogenesis and antiangiogenic therapies in cancer, The Journal of Clinical Investigation, 8 (2013), 3190-3200.  doi: 10.1172/JCI70212.  Google Scholar

[25]

J. Zalevsky, A. K. Chamberlain, H. M. Horton, S. Karki, I. W. Leung, T. J. Sproule, G. A. Lazar, D. C. Roopenian and J. R. Desjarlais, Enhanced antibody half-life improves in vivo activity, Nature Biotechnology, 28 (2010), 157-159.  doi: 10.1038/nbt.1601.  Google Scholar

show all references

References:
[1]

K. D. Argyri, D. D. Dionysiou, F. D. Misichroni and G. S. Stamatakos, Numerical simulation of vascular tumour growth under antiangiogenic treatment: Addressing the paradigm of single-agent bevacizumab therapy with the use of experimental data Biology Direct, 11 (2016), p12. doi: 10.1186/s13062-016-0114-9.  Google Scholar

[2]

F. Billy, J. Clairambault and O. Fercoq, Optimisation of cancer drug treatments using cell population dynamics, Mathematical Methods and Models in Biomedicine (eds. Ledzewicz U., Schättler H., Friedman A., Kashdan E. ), (2013), 265-309. doi: 10.1007/978-1-4614-4178-6_10.  Google Scholar

[3]

J. J. Cruz, Feedback Systems, McGraw-Hill, 1972. Google Scholar

[4]

B. C. Daniels, Y. J. Chen, J. P. Sethna, R. N. Gutenkunst and C. R. Myers, Sloppiness, robustness, and evolvability in systems biology, Current Opinion in Biotechnology, 19 (2008), 389-395.  doi: 10.1016/j.copbio.2008.06.008.  Google Scholar

[5]

A. D'Onofrio and A. Gandolfi, A family of models of angiogenesis and anti-angiogenesis anti-cancer therapy, Mathematical Medicine and Biology, 26 (2009), 63-95.  doi: 10.1093/imammb/dqn024.  Google Scholar

[6]

A. d'Onofrio and A. Gandolfi, Chemotherapy of vascularised tumours: Role of vessel density and the effect of vascular "pruning", Journal of Theoretical Biology, 264 (2010), 253-265.  doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2010.01.023.  Google Scholar

[7]

A. D'Onofrio, U. Ledzewicz, H. Maurer and H. Schättler, On optimal delivery of combination therapy for tumors, Mathematical Biosciences, 222 (2009), 13-26.  doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2009.08.004.  Google Scholar

[8]

H. Enderling and M. A. Chaplain, Mathematical modeling of tumor growth and treatment, Current Pharmaceutical Design, 20 (2014), 4934-4940.  doi: 10.2174/1381612819666131125150434.  Google Scholar

[9]

J. Folkman and M. Klagsbrun, Angiogenic factors, Science, 235 (1987), 442-447.  doi: 10.1126/science.2432664.  Google Scholar

[10]

R. N. Gutenkunst, J. J. Watefall, F. P. Casey, K. S. Brown, C. R. Myers and J. P. Sethna, Universally sloppy parameter sensitivities in systems biology models, PLOS Computational Biology, 3 (2007), 1871-1878.  doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.0030189.  Google Scholar

[11]

P. Hahnfeldt, D. Panigrahy, J. Folkman and L. Hlatky, Tumor development under angiogenic signaling: A dynamical theory of tumor growth, treatment response, and postvascular dormancy, Cancer Research, 19 (1999), 4770-4775.   Google Scholar

[12]

http://drugs.com, Available: 2016-09-30. Google Scholar

[13]

M. Komorowski, M. J. Costa, D. A. Rand and M. P. H. Stumpf, Sensitivity, robustness, and identifiability in stochastic chemical kinetics models, PNAS, 108 (2011), 8645-8650.  doi: 10.1073/pnas.1015814108.  Google Scholar

[14]

U. Ledzewicz, H. Maurer and H. Schättler, Minimizing Tumor Volume for a Mathematical Model of Anti-Angiogenesis with Linear Pharmacokinetics, Recent Advances in Optimization and its Applications in Engineering (eds. Diehl M., Glineur F., Jarlebring E., Michiels W., (2010), 267-276. doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-12598-0_23.  Google Scholar

[15]

U. Ledzewicz and H. Schättler, Anti-angiogenic therapy in cancer treatment as an optimal control problem, SIAM J. on Control and Optimization, 46 (2007), 1052-1079.  doi: 10.1137/060665294.  Google Scholar

[16]

B. K. Mannakee, A. P. Ragsdale, M. K. Transtrum and R. N. Gutenkunst, Sloppiness and the geometry of parameter space, Uncertainty in Biology: A Computational Modeling Approach (eds. Geris L., Gomez-Cabrero D.), 17 (2015), 271-299.  doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-21296-8_11.  Google Scholar

[17]

J. Poleszczuk, P. Hahnfeldt and H. Enderling, Therapeutic implications from sensitivity analysis of tumor angiogenesis models PLoS One, 10(2015), e0120007. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0120007.  Google Scholar

[18]

A. Saltelli, Sensitivity Analysis in Practice: A Guide to Assessing Scientific Models, John Wiley & Sons, 2004.  Google Scholar

[19]

A. Saltelli, M. Ratto, S. Tarantola and F. Campolongo, Sensitivity analysis practices: Strategies for model-based inference, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, (2006), 1109-1125.   Google Scholar

[20]

H. Schättler and U. Ledzewicz, Optimal Control for Mathematical Models of Cancer Therapies -an Application of Geometric Methods, Interdisciplinary Applied Mathematics, 42. Springer, New York, 2015. doi: 10.1007/978-1-4939-2972-6.  Google Scholar

[21]

A. Swierniak, M. Kimmel and J. Smieja, Mathematical modeling as a tool for planning anticancer therapy, European Journal of Pharmacology, 625 (2009), 108-121.  doi: 10.1016/j.ejphar.2009.08.041.  Google Scholar

[22]

A. Swierniak, M. Kimmel, J. Smieja, K. Puszynski and K. Psiuk-Maksymowicz, System Engineering Approach to Planning Anticancer Therapies, Springer, 2016. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-28095-0.  Google Scholar

[23]

N. S. Vasudev and A. R. Reynolds, Anti-angiogenic therapy for cancer: Current progress, unresolved questions and future directions, Angiogenesis, 17 (2014), 471-494.  doi: 10.1007/s10456-014-9420-y.  Google Scholar

[24]

J. Welti, S. Loges, S. Dimmeler and P. Carmeliet, Recent molecular discoveries in angiogenesis and antiangiogenic therapies in cancer, The Journal of Clinical Investigation, 8 (2013), 3190-3200.  doi: 10.1172/JCI70212.  Google Scholar

[25]

J. Zalevsky, A. K. Chamberlain, H. M. Horton, S. Karki, I. W. Leung, T. J. Sproule, G. A. Lazar, D. C. Roopenian and J. R. Desjarlais, Enhanced antibody half-life improves in vivo activity, Nature Biotechnology, 28 (2010), 157-159.  doi: 10.1038/nbt.1601.  Google Scholar

Figure 1.  Parameter sensitivity ranking calculated with first-order sensitivity functions for the model (2). Sensitivity indices for parameters were normalized to the maximum value
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Figure 2.  Parameter sensitivity rankings calculated with first-order sensitivity functions for different treatment protocols and the model (2): chemotherapy administered every (a) 2 days, (b) 4 days, (c) 10 days; antiangiogenic agents administered every (a) 10 days, (b) 13 days, (c) 20 days. Sensitivity indices for parameters were normalized to the maximum value to facilitate comparison of the rankings
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Figure 3.  The heatmap representing sensitivity of the treatment outcome, defined as the number of cancer cells at the end of treatment (right) and two sample solutions that illustrate its meaning (left)
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Figure 4.  Evaluation of various treatment protocols for the models (a, b) (2) and (c, d) (3); taking into account: low drugs toxicity (a, c) and high drugs toxicity (b, d). Axes are labeled by the number of days between consecutive doses of respective drugs
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Figure 5.  An example of the model (2) response for treatment protocol selected on the basis of J
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Figure 6.  Changes in therapy outcome caused by different administration times of the same total doses for the models (a, b) (2) and (c, d) (3). Left and right columns represent indices given by the tumor volume at the end of treatment and mean tumor volume during the treatment, respectively
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Figure 7.  Changes in therapy outcome for model (2) due to changes in parameter $\beta$: (a, b) increased by 50%; (c, d) decreased by 50%. Left and right columns represent indices given by the tumor volume at the end of treatment and mean tumor volume during the treatment, respectively
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Figure 8.  Changes in therapy efficiency caused by variability in parameters for model (2). Maximum change is presented. (a, b) $\beta$, (c, d) $\gamma$, (e, f) $\lambda$. Left and right columns represent indices given by the tumor volume at the end of treatment and mean tumor volume during the treatment, respectively
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Figure 9.  Changes in therapy efficiency caused by variability in parameters for model (2). Mean change is presented. (a, b) $\beta$, (c, d) $\gamma$, (e, f) $\lambda$. Left and right columns represent indices given by the tumor volume at the end of treatment and mean tumor volume during the treatment, respectively
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Figure 10.  Changes in therapy efficiency caused by variability in parameters for model (3). Max change is presented. (a, b) $\beta$, (c, d) $\gamma$, (e, f) $\lambda$. Left and right columns represent indices given by the tumor volume at the end of treatment and mean tumor volume during the treatment, respectively
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Figure 11.  Changes in therapy efficiency caused by variability in parameters for model (3). Mean change is presented. (a, b) $\beta$, (c, d) $\gamma$, (e, f) $\lambda$. Left and right columns represent indices given by the tumor volume at the end of treatment and mean tumor volume during the treatment, respectively
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Table 1.  Nominal values of parameters
Par.ValuesDescription
Model (2)Model (3)
$N_0$$10^6$$10^6$Initial no. of cancer cells $[mm^3]$
$K_0$$N_0 \cdot 10 $$N_0 \cdot 10 $Initial no. of endothelial cells $[mm^3]$
$\beta$$1.92 \cdot 10^{-1}$$1.92 \cdot 10^{-1}$Tumor growth parameter $[day^{-1}]$
$\gamma$$1.755 \cdot 10^{1}$$1.755 \cdot 10^{1}$Endothelial stimulation parameter $[day^{-1}]$
$\lambda$$8.73 \cdot 10^{-5}$$8.73 \cdot 10^{-5}$Endothelial inhibition parameter $[day^{-1} mm^{-\frac{2}{3}}]$
$\mu$00Natural mortality of endothelial cells $[day^{-1}]$
$\psi$$1.17 \cdot 10^{-2}$-Cytostatic killing parameter (for cancer cells) $[mg^{-1} m^2]$
$\psi * $-$1.17 \cdot 10^{-2}$Maximum value of cytostatic killing parameter (for cancer cells) -$[mg^{-1} m^2]$
$\eta$$1.17 \cdot 10^{-4}$$1.17 \cdot 10^{-4}$Cytostatic killing parameter (for endothelial cells) $[mg^{-1} m^2]$
$\xi$$1.75 \cdot 10^{-2}$$5.25 \cdot 10^{-2}$Anti-angiogenic killing parameter $[mg^{-1} kg]$
$\sigma$-$3.5\cdot 10^{-1}$Parametr used in the efficacy curve of the drug
$\rho_{opt}$-2$\frac{K}{N}$ ratio, for which the most effective functionality of vasculature is observed
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Par.ValuesDescription
Model (2)Model (3)
$N_0$$10^6$$10^6$Initial no. of cancer cells $[mm^3]$
$K_0$$N_0 \cdot 10 $$N_0 \cdot 10 $Initial no. of endothelial cells $[mm^3]$
$\beta$$1.92 \cdot 10^{-1}$$1.92 \cdot 10^{-1}$Tumor growth parameter $[day^{-1}]$
$\gamma$$1.755 \cdot 10^{1}$$1.755 \cdot 10^{1}$Endothelial stimulation parameter $[day^{-1}]$
$\lambda$$8.73 \cdot 10^{-5}$$8.73 \cdot 10^{-5}$Endothelial inhibition parameter $[day^{-1} mm^{-\frac{2}{3}}]$
$\mu$00Natural mortality of endothelial cells $[day^{-1}]$
$\psi$$1.17 \cdot 10^{-2}$-Cytostatic killing parameter (for cancer cells) $[mg^{-1} m^2]$
$\psi * $-$1.17 \cdot 10^{-2}$Maximum value of cytostatic killing parameter (for cancer cells) -$[mg^{-1} m^2]$
$\eta$$1.17 \cdot 10^{-4}$$1.17 \cdot 10^{-4}$Cytostatic killing parameter (for endothelial cells) $[mg^{-1} m^2]$
$\xi$$1.75 \cdot 10^{-2}$$5.25 \cdot 10^{-2}$Anti-angiogenic killing parameter $[mg^{-1} kg]$
$\sigma$-$3.5\cdot 10^{-1}$Parametr used in the efficacy curve of the drug
$\rho_{opt}$-2$\frac{K}{N}$ ratio, for which the most effective functionality of vasculature is observed
Table 2.  Pharmacokinetics parameters
Parameter$k_u$$k_v$$T_{u1/2}$$T_{v1/2}$
Model (2)$0.0117$$0.0175$12[h]3.5[days]
Model (3)$0.0117$$0.0525$12[h]3.5[days]
$u$ -chemotherapy
$v$ -antiangiogenic therapy
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Parameter$k_u$$k_v$$T_{u1/2}$$T_{v1/2}$
Model (2)$0.0117$$0.0175$12[h]3.5[days]
Model (3)$0.0117$$0.0525$12[h]3.5[days]
$u$ -chemotherapy
$v$ -antiangiogenic therapy
Table 3.  Performance index parameters for models (2) and (3)
Case(ⅰ)(ⅱ)
Parameter$r_1$$r_2$$r_3$$r_1$$r_2$$r_3$
Value$1$$0.1 \cdot 10^4$$0.05 \cdot 10^4$$1$$0.5 \cdot 10^5$$0.25 \cdot 10^5$
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Case(ⅰ)(ⅱ)
Parameter$r_1$$r_2$$r_3$$r_1$$r_2$$r_3$
Value$1$$0.1 \cdot 10^4$$0.05 \cdot 10^4$$1$$0.5 \cdot 10^5$$0.25 \cdot 10^5$
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