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Dynamics of human decisions

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  • We study a dichotomous decision model, where individuals can make the decision yes or no and can influence the decisions of others. We characterize all decisions that form Nash equilibria. Taking into account the way individuals influence the decisions of others, we construct the decision tilings where the axes reflect the personal preferences of the individuals for making the decision yes or no. These tilings characterize geometrically all the pure and mixed Nash equilibria. We show, in these tilings, that Nash equilibria form degenerated hysteresis with respect to the dynamics, with the property that the pure Nash equilibria are asymptotically stable and the strict mixed equilibria are unstable. These hysteresis can help to explain the sudden appearance of social, political and economic crises. We observe the existence of limit cycles for the dynamics associated to situations where the individuals keep changing their decisions along time, but exhibiting a periodic repetition in their decisions. We introduce the notion of altruist and individualist leaders and study the way that the leader can affect the individuals to make the decision that the leader pretends.
    Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary: 91A35, 91A25; Secondary: 91A80.

    Citation:

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    A. Pinto, A. Mousa, M. Mousa and R. Samarah, Tilings and Bussola for Making Decisions, in "Dynamics, Games and Science I" (eds. M. Peixoto, A. Pinto and D. Rand), Springer Proceedings in Mathematics, Springer-Verlag, Chapter 44, (2011), 689-708.doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-11456-4_44.

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    R. Soeiro, A. Mousa and A. PintoInfluência Das decis oes individuais num mercado competitivo, in "Matemática do Planeta Terra" (eds. F. Costa, J. Buescu and J. T. Pinto), Editora Universitária do Instituto Superior Técnico, IST Press, Lisboa, Aceite para publicação.

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