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Empirical analysis and optimization of capital structure adjustment

  • * Corresponding author: Honglei Xu

    * Corresponding author: Honglei Xu

The second author is supported by ARC Discovery grant DP160102819

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  • This paper analyzes capital structure's characteristics and presents its simplified mathematical model. Panel data analysis shows that the listed companies prefer equity financing rather than debt financing. Furthermore, we propose a capital structure optimization model with uncertain equity financing constraints. We formulate the capital structure optimization problem as a two-stage stochastic optimization problem and solve it. Finally, numerical examples show that our optimization approach can improve the statistics result of capital structure adjustment.

    Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary: 58E17, 90C15; Secondary: 97M10.

    Citation:

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  • Table 1.  Asset-liability ratio and institutional investor's shareholding ratio in various sectors

    Trade Asset-Liability Ratio IIShare
    Mining 48.19% 18.39%
    Electric Heating Water 60.33% 28.55%
    Real Estate 62.77% 21.12%
    Construction 70.69% 16.66%
    Traffic 49.62% 21.01%
    Agriculture 41.71% 17.6%
    Wholesale and Retail 56.37% 18.1%
    Entertainment 46.19% 13.15%
    Information Technology 37.02% 18.16%
    Manufacturing 29.86% 16.88%
    52.21% 17.19%
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 2.  Institutional investor's shareholding ratio

    Trade Public Offering Funds Securities Insurance Trader Social Insurance Funds Other Sum
    Mining 4.71% 3.23% 4.03% 3.76% 2.66% 18.39%
    Electric Heating Water 6.31% 3.17% 3.48% 4.76% 10.83% 28.55%
    Real Estate 5.08% 3.23% 5.21% 2.66% 4.94% 21.12%
    Construction 5.73% 2.16% 2.33% 3.09% 3.35% 16.66%
    Traffic 3.14% 2.64% 3.72% 3.53% 7.98% 21.01%
    Agriculture 5.32% 2.26% 3.14% 3.05% 3.83% 17.6%
    Wholesale and Retail 6.62% 1.79% 2.93% 2.77% 3.99% 18.1%
    Entertainment 2.33% 0.74% 1.67% 1.24% 7.17% 13.15%
    Information Technology 8.91% 2.27% 2.71% 2.73% 1.54% 18.16%
    Manufacturing 6.24% 2.36% 2.7% 2.87% 2.71% 16.88%
    Synthesize 4.26% 1.93% 3.65% 3.28% 4.07% 17.19%
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 3.  Descriptive Statistics

    Variables N Mean Sd Min Max
    IIShare 8559 0.181 0.179 0 0.9102
    Mortgage Capacity 8559 0.239 0.179 0 0.971
    Grow 8559 5.712 235.6 -57.96 20,371
    Size 8559 21.86 1.350 15.60 28.51
    Ownership Concentration 8559 59.53 35.75 7.32 100
    NDTS 8559 0.0311 0.0333 -0.114 1.529
    Profitability 8559 0.0526 0.310 -6.353 22.00
    Deb 8559 0.0321 0.2801 -8.1073 6.1282
    Capital Cost 8559 5.9239 3.501 1.6552 25.7761
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
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