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doi: 10.3934/jimo.2019018

Application of a modified CES production function model based on improved firefly algorithm

Maolin Cheng 1,, and  Mingyin Xiang 2,

1. 

School of Mathematics and Physics, Suzhou University of Science and Technology, Suzhou, 215009, China
2. 

School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huangshan University, Huangshan, 245041, China

* Corresponding author: Maolin Cheng

Received  June 2018 Revised  September 2018 Published  March 2019

Fund Project: The first author is supported by NSF grant 11401418

The conventional CES production function model fails to consider the influences of policy factors on economic growth in different stages. This paper proposes a modified model of the CES production function. Regarding model parameter estimation, the paper proposes a modern intelligent algorithm, the firefly algorithm (FA). The paper improves conventional FA to enhance the convergence rate and precision. To overcome the shortcomings of the conventional method in model application, the paper presents a new method of calculating the contribution rates of factors influencing economic growth and provides examples.

Keywords: CES production function, economic growth, contribution rate, firefly algorithm.
Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary: 62P20, 91B62; Secondary: 68Q25.
Citation: Maolin Cheng, Mingyin Xiang. Application of a modified CES production function model based on improved firefly algorithm. Journal of Industrial & Management Optimization, doi: 10.3934/jimo.2019018
References:
[1]

J. Antony, A dual elasticity of substitution production function with an application to cross-country inequality, Economics Letters, 102 (2009), 10-12. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2008.09.007. Google Scholar

[2]

P. Balachennaiah, M. Suryakalavathi and P. Nagendra, Optimizing real power loss and voltage stability limit of a large transmission network using firefly algorithm, Engineering Science and Technology, 19 (2016), 800-810. doi: 10.1016/j.jestch.2015.10.008. Google Scholar

[3]

A. Baykasoğlu and F. B. Ozsoydan, An improved firefly algorithm for solving dynamic multidimensional knapsack problems, Expert Systems with Applications, 41 (2014), 3712-3725. Google Scholar

[4]

J. Y. Cao, The aggregate production function and contribution rate of technical change to economic growth in China, Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 11 (2007), 37-46. Google Scholar

[5]

F. Erdal, A firefly algorithm for optimum design of new-generation beams, Engineering Optimization, 49 (2017), 915-931. doi: 10.1080/0305215X.2016.1218003. Google Scholar

[6]

M. Farhoodnea, A. Mohamed, H. Shareef and H. Zayandehroodi, Optimum placement of active power conditioner in distribution systems using improved discrete firefly algorithm for power quality enhancement, Applied Soft Computing, 23 (2014), 249-258. doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2014.06.038. Google Scholar

[7]

Q. Fu, R. Q. Jiang, Z. L. Wang and T. X. Li, Optimization of soil water characteristic curves parameters by modified firefly algorithm, Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 31 (2015), 117-122. Google Scholar

[8]

H. Ge and Y. J. Feng, Total factor productivity and contribution rate of technological progress based on equivalent benefit surface production function, Quantitative & Technica Economics, 11 (2004), 94-101. Google Scholar

[9]

S. Gholizadeh, Performance-based optimum seismic design of steel structures by a modified firefly algorithm and a new neural network, Advances in Engineering Software, 81 (2015), 50-65. doi: 10.1016/j.advengsoft.2014.11.003. Google Scholar

[10]

A. Gupta and P. K. Padhy, Modified Firefly Algorithm based controller design for integrating and unstable delay processes, Engineering Science and Technology, 19 (2016), 548-558. doi: 10.1016/j.jestch.2015.09.015. Google Scholar

[11]

A. Henningsen and G. Henningsen, On estimation of the CES production function-Revisited, Economics Letters, 115 (2012), 67-69. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.007. Google Scholar

[12]

R. Klump and M. Saam, Calibration of normalised CES production functions in dynamic models, Economics Letters, 99 (2008), 256-259. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2007.07.001. Google Scholar

[13]

K. N. Krishnanand and D. Ghose, Detection of multiple source locations using a glowworm metaphor with applications to collective robotics, Proc of IEEE Swarm Intelligence Symposium, IEEE Press, Piscataway, 2005, 84-91.Google Scholar

[14]

L. Lei, Z. H. Zhang and L. L. Wang, Measurement and analysis on contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress in Shaanxi province: based on C-D production function, Technology Economics, 30 (2011), 59-63. Google Scholar

[15]

H. Li, X. Guo and W. Li, PID controller parameter optimization based on improved glowworm swarm optimization, Computer Applications and Software, 34 (2017), 227-230. Google Scholar

[16]

Z. Li, D. D. Wang, L. Liang and Y. Q. Zhou, Artificial fish school algorithm for estimating parametersin production function, Journal of Chongqing Normal University(Natural Science), 26 (2009), 84–86, 93.Google Scholar

[17]

L. B. Liu, C. P. Liu, Y. Zhang and Y. Wang, Parameter estimation method for predator prey model based on particle swarm optimization algorithm, Pure and Applied Mathematics, 32 (2016), 19-24. Google Scholar

[18]

W. Long, J. J. Jiao and S. J. Xu, Parameter estimation for reaction kinetics model based on composite genetic algorithm, Journal of Computer Applications, 32 (2012), 1704-1706. doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1087.2012.01704. Google Scholar

[19]

Y. Q. Lv, Z. Lu and X. Deng, Application of improved particle swarm optimization algorithm in estimating parameters of production function, Statistics & Decision, 4 (2014), 21-24. Google Scholar

[20]

A. Mishra, C. Agarwal, A. Sharma and P. Bedi, Optimized gray-scale image watermarking using DWT–SVD and Firefly Algorithm, Expert Systems with Applications, 41 (2014), 7858-7867. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2014.06.011. Google Scholar

[21]

F. M. Pavelescu, Impact of collinearity on estimated parameters of CES production function, Procedia Economics and Finance, 22 (2015), 762-769. doi: 10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00304-4. Google Scholar

[22]

Y. W. Peng, L. S. Guo and C. Mao, Parameter estimation for fuzzy regression based on improved simulated annealing algorithm, Statistics & Decision, 1 (2014), 17-20. Google Scholar

[23]

A. Rastgou and J. Moshtagh, Application of firefly algorithm for multi-stage transmission expansion planning with adequacy-security considerations in deregulated environments, Applied Soft Computing, 41 (2016), 373-389. doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2016.01.018. Google Scholar

[24]

M. G. Sundari, M. Rajaram and S. Balaraman, Application of improved firefly algorithm for programmed PWM in multilevel inverter with adjustable DC sources, Applied Soft Computing, 41 (2016), 169-179. doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2015.12.036. Google Scholar

[25]

W. Tang and L. Wu, Parameter estimation for piecewise linear Chen system based on genetic algorithm, Computer Science, 42 (2015), 83–85, 99.Google Scholar

[26]

S. Verma and V. Mukherjee, Firefly algorithm for congestion management in deregulated environment, Engineering Science and Technology, 19 (2016), 1254-1265. doi: 10.1016/j.jestch.2016.02.001. Google Scholar

[27]

A. D. Vîlcu and G. E. Vîlcu, On some geometric properties of the generalized CES production functions, Applied Mathematics and Computation, 218 (2011), 124-129. doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2011.05.061. Google Scholar

[28]

H. Wang, X. Y. Zhou, H. Sun, X. Yu, J. Zhao, H. Zhang and L. Z. Cui, Firefly algorithm with adaptive control parameters, Soft Computing, 21 (2017), 5091-5102. doi: 10.1007/s00500-016-2104-3. Google Scholar

[29]

F. Xia and Y. L. Wang, Measurement of the rural worker's contribution rate to the economic growth based on production function model, Chinese Journal of Management Science, 16 (2008), 587-591. Google Scholar

[30]

Z. Yan and H. F. Jiang, CES production function and its application, Quantitative & Technica Economics, 9 (2002), 95-98. Google Scholar

[31]

Z. G. Yan, H. N. Hu and G. Li, Parameter estimation of Richards model and algorithm effectiveness based on particle swarm optimization algorithm, Journal of Computer Applications, 34 (2014), 2827-2830. Google Scholar

[32]

X. S. Yang, Nature-inspired metaheuristic algorithms, Luniver press, Beckington, 2008, 83–96.Google Scholar

[33]

Q. L. Zhan and X. H. Ceng, Factor substitution elasticity estimation of CES production function based on Chinese industrial micro data, Statistics & Decision, 24 (2015), 31-35. Google Scholar

[34]

G. Q. Zheng and G. Q. Zhang, Parameter estmiations of semi-parametric linear regression models using smiulated annealing algorithm, Journal of South China Agricultural University, 27 (2006), 115-117. Google Scholar

show all references

References:
[1]

J. Antony, A dual elasticity of substitution production function with an application to cross-country inequality, Economics Letters, 102 (2009), 10-12. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2008.09.007. Google Scholar

[2]

P. Balachennaiah, M. Suryakalavathi and P. Nagendra, Optimizing real power loss and voltage stability limit of a large transmission network using firefly algorithm, Engineering Science and Technology, 19 (2016), 800-810. doi: 10.1016/j.jestch.2015.10.008. Google Scholar

[3]

A. Baykasoğlu and F. B. Ozsoydan, An improved firefly algorithm for solving dynamic multidimensional knapsack problems, Expert Systems with Applications, 41 (2014), 3712-3725. Google Scholar

[4]

J. Y. Cao, The aggregate production function and contribution rate of technical change to economic growth in China, Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 11 (2007), 37-46. Google Scholar

[5]

F. Erdal, A firefly algorithm for optimum design of new-generation beams, Engineering Optimization, 49 (2017), 915-931. doi: 10.1080/0305215X.2016.1218003. Google Scholar

[6]

M. Farhoodnea, A. Mohamed, H. Shareef and H. Zayandehroodi, Optimum placement of active power conditioner in distribution systems using improved discrete firefly algorithm for power quality enhancement, Applied Soft Computing, 23 (2014), 249-258. doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2014.06.038. Google Scholar

[7]

Q. Fu, R. Q. Jiang, Z. L. Wang and T. X. Li, Optimization of soil water characteristic curves parameters by modified firefly algorithm, Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 31 (2015), 117-122. Google Scholar

[8]

H. Ge and Y. J. Feng, Total factor productivity and contribution rate of technological progress based on equivalent benefit surface production function, Quantitative & Technica Economics, 11 (2004), 94-101. Google Scholar

[9]

S. Gholizadeh, Performance-based optimum seismic design of steel structures by a modified firefly algorithm and a new neural network, Advances in Engineering Software, 81 (2015), 50-65. doi: 10.1016/j.advengsoft.2014.11.003. Google Scholar

[10]

A. Gupta and P. K. Padhy, Modified Firefly Algorithm based controller design for integrating and unstable delay processes, Engineering Science and Technology, 19 (2016), 548-558. doi: 10.1016/j.jestch.2015.09.015. Google Scholar

[11]

A. Henningsen and G. Henningsen, On estimation of the CES production function-Revisited, Economics Letters, 115 (2012), 67-69. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.007. Google Scholar

[12]

R. Klump and M. Saam, Calibration of normalised CES production functions in dynamic models, Economics Letters, 99 (2008), 256-259. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2007.07.001. Google Scholar

[13]

K. N. Krishnanand and D. Ghose, Detection of multiple source locations using a glowworm metaphor with applications to collective robotics, Proc of IEEE Swarm Intelligence Symposium, IEEE Press, Piscataway, 2005, 84-91.Google Scholar

[14]

L. Lei, Z. H. Zhang and L. L. Wang, Measurement and analysis on contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress in Shaanxi province: based on C-D production function, Technology Economics, 30 (2011), 59-63. Google Scholar

[15]

H. Li, X. Guo and W. Li, PID controller parameter optimization based on improved glowworm swarm optimization, Computer Applications and Software, 34 (2017), 227-230. Google Scholar

[16]

Z. Li, D. D. Wang, L. Liang and Y. Q. Zhou, Artificial fish school algorithm for estimating parametersin production function, Journal of Chongqing Normal University(Natural Science), 26 (2009), 84–86, 93.Google Scholar

[17]

L. B. Liu, C. P. Liu, Y. Zhang and Y. Wang, Parameter estimation method for predator prey model based on particle swarm optimization algorithm, Pure and Applied Mathematics, 32 (2016), 19-24. Google Scholar

[18]

W. Long, J. J. Jiao and S. J. Xu, Parameter estimation for reaction kinetics model based on composite genetic algorithm, Journal of Computer Applications, 32 (2012), 1704-1706. doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1087.2012.01704. Google Scholar

[19]

Y. Q. Lv, Z. Lu and X. Deng, Application of improved particle swarm optimization algorithm in estimating parameters of production function, Statistics & Decision, 4 (2014), 21-24. Google Scholar

[20]

A. Mishra, C. Agarwal, A. Sharma and P. Bedi, Optimized gray-scale image watermarking using DWT–SVD and Firefly Algorithm, Expert Systems with Applications, 41 (2014), 7858-7867. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2014.06.011. Google Scholar

[21]

F. M. Pavelescu, Impact of collinearity on estimated parameters of CES production function, Procedia Economics and Finance, 22 (2015), 762-769. doi: 10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00304-4. Google Scholar

[22]

Y. W. Peng, L. S. Guo and C. Mao, Parameter estimation for fuzzy regression based on improved simulated annealing algorithm, Statistics & Decision, 1 (2014), 17-20. Google Scholar

[23]

A. Rastgou and J. Moshtagh, Application of firefly algorithm for multi-stage transmission expansion planning with adequacy-security considerations in deregulated environments, Applied Soft Computing, 41 (2016), 373-389. doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2016.01.018. Google Scholar

[24]

M. G. Sundari, M. Rajaram and S. Balaraman, Application of improved firefly algorithm for programmed PWM in multilevel inverter with adjustable DC sources, Applied Soft Computing, 41 (2016), 169-179. doi: 10.1016/j.asoc.2015.12.036. Google Scholar

[25]

W. Tang and L. Wu, Parameter estimation for piecewise linear Chen system based on genetic algorithm, Computer Science, 42 (2015), 83–85, 99.Google Scholar

[26]

S. Verma and V. Mukherjee, Firefly algorithm for congestion management in deregulated environment, Engineering Science and Technology, 19 (2016), 1254-1265. doi: 10.1016/j.jestch.2016.02.001. Google Scholar

[27]

A. D. Vîlcu and G. E. Vîlcu, On some geometric properties of the generalized CES production functions, Applied Mathematics and Computation, 218 (2011), 124-129. doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2011.05.061. Google Scholar

[28]

H. Wang, X. Y. Zhou, H. Sun, X. Yu, J. Zhao, H. Zhang and L. Z. Cui, Firefly algorithm with adaptive control parameters, Soft Computing, 21 (2017), 5091-5102. doi: 10.1007/s00500-016-2104-3. Google Scholar

[29]

F. Xia and Y. L. Wang, Measurement of the rural worker's contribution rate to the economic growth based on production function model, Chinese Journal of Management Science, 16 (2008), 587-591. Google Scholar

[30]

Z. Yan and H. F. Jiang, CES production function and its application, Quantitative & Technica Economics, 9 (2002), 95-98. Google Scholar

[31]

Z. G. Yan, H. N. Hu and G. Li, Parameter estimation of Richards model and algorithm effectiveness based on particle swarm optimization algorithm, Journal of Computer Applications, 34 (2014), 2827-2830. Google Scholar

[32]

X. S. Yang, Nature-inspired metaheuristic algorithms, Luniver press, Beckington, 2008, 83–96.Google Scholar

[33]

Q. L. Zhan and X. H. Ceng, Factor substitution elasticity estimation of CES production function based on Chinese industrial micro data, Statistics & Decision, 24 (2015), 31-35. Google Scholar

[34]

G. Q. Zheng and G. Q. Zhang, Parameter estmiations of semi-parametric linear regression models using smiulated annealing algorithm, Journal of South China Agricultural University, 27 (2006), 115-117. Google Scholar

Table 1.  Data on Chinese economic growth
Period Year $Y$ $L$ $K$ $E$
Period of the 9$^{th}$ five-year plan 1996 71176.6 68950 22913.5 135192
1997 78973.0 69820 24941.1 135909
1998 84402.3 70637 28406.2 136184
1999 89677.1 71394 29854.7 140569
2000 99214.6 72085 32917.7 145531
Period of the 10$^{th}$ five-year plan 2001 109655.2 72797 37213.5 150406
2002 120332.7 73280 43499.9 159431
2003 135822.8 73736 55566.6 183792
2004 159878.3 74264 70477.4 213456
2005 183217.5 74647 88773.6 235997
Period of the 11$^{th}$ five-year plan 2006 211923.5 74978 109998.2 258676
2007 249529.9 75321 137239.0 280508
2008 316228.8 75564 172828.4 291448
2009 343464.7 75828 224598.8 306647
2010 401512.8 76105 251683.8 324939
Period of the 12$^{th}$ five-year plan 2011 473104.0 76420 311485.1 348002
2012 519470.1 76704 374694.7 361732
2013 568845.0 76977 447074.0 375252
2014 636462.7 77253 512760.7 426000
2015 676780.0 77451 562000.0 430000
Period of the 13$^{th}$ five-year plan 2016 744127.0 77603 606466.0 436000
2017 827122.0 77640 641238.0 449000
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Period Year $Y$ $L$ $K$ $E$
Period of the 9$^{th}$ five-year plan 1996 71176.6 68950 22913.5 135192
1997 78973.0 69820 24941.1 135909
1998 84402.3 70637 28406.2 136184
1999 89677.1 71394 29854.7 140569
2000 99214.6 72085 32917.7 145531
Period of the 10$^{th}$ five-year plan 2001 109655.2 72797 37213.5 150406
2002 120332.7 73280 43499.9 159431
2003 135822.8 73736 55566.6 183792
2004 159878.3 74264 70477.4 213456
2005 183217.5 74647 88773.6 235997
Period of the 11$^{th}$ five-year plan 2006 211923.5 74978 109998.2 258676
2007 249529.9 75321 137239.0 280508
2008 316228.8 75564 172828.4 291448
2009 343464.7 75828 224598.8 306647
2010 401512.8 76105 251683.8 324939
Period of the 12$^{th}$ five-year plan 2011 473104.0 76420 311485.1 348002
2012 519470.1 76704 374694.7 361732
2013 568845.0 76977 447074.0 375252
2014 636462.7 77253 512760.7 426000
2015 676780.0 77451 562000.0 430000
Period of the 13$^{th}$ five-year plan 2016 744127.0 77603 606466.0 436000
2017 827122.0 77640 641238.0 449000
Table 2.  Comparison of results of three algorithms
Algorithm Improved PSO Conventional firefly algorithm Improved firefly algorithm
$A$ 0.7638 0.8268 0.7500
$\sigma $ 0.0518 0.0700 0.0572
$\delta_{1} $ 0.6612 0.6460 0.6502
$\delta_{2} $ 0.3229 0.3827 0.3297
$\delta_{3} $ 0.1852 0.1712 0.1834
$\alpha_{1} $ 0.5352 0.5080 0.5184
$\alpha_{2} $ 0.7295 0.6825 0.7164
$\alpha_{3} $ 0.1683 0.2149 0.1986
$\alpha_{4} $ 0.3224 0.3464 0.3223
$\alpha_{5} $ 0.1511 0.1970 0.1538
$\beta_{1} $ 0.1431 0.1878 0.1565
$\beta_{2} $ 0.1072 0.1228 0.1170
$\beta_{3} $ 0.1971 0.1916 0.2027
$\beta_{4} $ 0.2472 0.2645 0.2498
$\beta_{5} $ 0.2183 0.1981 0.2239
$\gamma_{1} $ 0.1102 0.0988 0.1137
$\gamma_{2} $ 0.0710 0.1352 0.0901
$\gamma_{3} $ 0.1006 0.1478 0.1002
$\gamma_{4} $ 0.0478 0.0375 0.0482
$\gamma_{5} $ 0.1205 0.1945 0.1306
$\rho $ 1.5457 1.4934 1.5310
$\mu $ 1.2312 1.1995 1.2203
Iteration number 142 774 22
Objective function $RSS$ 2.4602e$+$09 2.8225e$+$09 1.2426e$+$09
Model's coefficient of determination, $R^{2}$ 0.9980 0.9977 0.9990
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Algorithm Improved PSO Conventional firefly algorithm Improved firefly algorithm
$A$ 0.7638 0.8268 0.7500
$\sigma $ 0.0518 0.0700 0.0572
$\delta_{1} $ 0.6612 0.6460 0.6502
$\delta_{2} $ 0.3229 0.3827 0.3297
$\delta_{3} $ 0.1852 0.1712 0.1834
$\alpha_{1} $ 0.5352 0.5080 0.5184
$\alpha_{2} $ 0.7295 0.6825 0.7164
$\alpha_{3} $ 0.1683 0.2149 0.1986
$\alpha_{4} $ 0.3224 0.3464 0.3223
$\alpha_{5} $ 0.1511 0.1970 0.1538
$\beta_{1} $ 0.1431 0.1878 0.1565
$\beta_{2} $ 0.1072 0.1228 0.1170
$\beta_{3} $ 0.1971 0.1916 0.2027
$\beta_{4} $ 0.2472 0.2645 0.2498
$\beta_{5} $ 0.2183 0.1981 0.2239
$\gamma_{1} $ 0.1102 0.0988 0.1137
$\gamma_{2} $ 0.0710 0.1352 0.0901
$\gamma_{3} $ 0.1006 0.1478 0.1002
$\gamma_{4} $ 0.0478 0.0375 0.0482
$\gamma_{5} $ 0.1205 0.1945 0.1306
$\rho $ 1.5457 1.4934 1.5310
$\mu $ 1.2312 1.1995 1.2203
Iteration number 142 774 22
Objective function $RSS$ 2.4602e$+$09 2.8225e$+$09 1.2426e$+$09
Model's coefficient of determination, $R^{2}$ 0.9980 0.9977 0.9990
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