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A new model to design the suppliers portfolio in newsvendor problem based on product reliability

  • *Corresponding author: Nasser Motahari Farimani

    *Corresponding author: Nasser Motahari Farimani 

This work was supported in part by: Research Deputy of Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, under Grant 57596.

Abstract / Introduction Full Text(HTML) Figure(18) / Table(24) Related Papers Cited by
  • Suppliers' selection problem has always been daunting challenges in the Newsvendor problem. Furthermore, since the failures in the supplier's products cause irreparable damage to the retailer, it is necessary to consider the reliability of products in ordering suppliers' products. This paper develops the Newsvendor model by considering the impactful criteria in supplier selection and product reliability so that the total cost of the chain is minimized in a multi-product and multi-period model with multiple suppliers. While multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) accounts for multiple criteria and their tradeoffs, its application in Newsvendor model is not considered. This paper applies the Bayesian best worst method (BWM), as one of the MCDM methods, for ranking criteria and the fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) for prioritizing the suppliers. Then, the obtained weights are plugged into the model as the inputs of the designed model. A case study with real data in the electronic supply chain is considered. To validate the results obtained by the proposed method, genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) are leveraged to solve the proposed model. Finally, the efficiency of the designed model is verified through a case study.

    Mathematics Subject Classification: 90B06, 90B05.

    Citation:

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  • Figure 1.  BWM Bayesian hierarchical model

    Figure 2.  General steps of research

    Figure 3.  The confidence of criteria to one another using Bayesian BWM

    Figure 4.  The normalized weights of suppliers

    Figure 5.  Mean $ S\big/N $ ratios of the parameters of GA

    Figure 6.  Mean $ S\big/N $ ratios of the parameters of PSO

    Figure 7.  The the structure of the chromosomes in GA

    Figure 8.  Convergence diagram of the best implementation of the GA

    Figure 9.  Convergence diagram of the best implementation of the PSO

    Figure 10.  The balance between objective functions for $ \gamma_1 $ different

    Figure 11.  The balance between objective functions for $ \gamma_2 $ different

    Figure 12.  The balance between objective functions for $ \gamma_3 $ different

    Figure 13.  changes in the average demand for the first objective function in first period

    Figure 14.  changes in the average demand for the first objective function in first period

    Figure 15.  changes in the average demand for the second objective function in first period

    Figure 16.  changes in the average demand for the second objective function in first period

    Figure 17.  changes in the average demand for the third objective function in first period

    Figure 18.  changes in the average demand for the third objective function in first period

    Table 1.  Some studies on newsvendor problem

    Supplier selection criteria Costs
    [16] Single No No Cost Yes No No No
    [29] Single No No Cost Yes No No No
    [62] Single No No Cost Yes No No No
    [57] Single No No Cost Yes No No No
    [59] Single No No Cost Yes No No No
    [12] Single No No Cost Yes No No No
    [35] Single No No Cost Yes No No No
    [14] Multiple Budget and retailer of capacity No The cost and sustainability factors Yes Yes No No
    [26] Multiple Budget and retailer of capacity No The cost and the service level Yes Yes No No
    Present study Multiple Budget and retailer of capacity supplier of capacity lead time and balance constraints Yes cost Yes Yes Yes Yes
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 2.  Weight of the criteria

    Criteria Weight
    Price 0.1855
    Quality 0.2250
    Service after-sale 0.1520
    Collaboration history 0.1151
    Delivery 0.1497
    Distance 0.0824
    Reliability 0.0903
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 3.  The normalized values of the weights

    suppliers $ D+ $ $ D- $ $ CI $ Normalized weight $ Raking $
    $ 1 $ 0.161 0.118 0.423 0.192 3
    $ 2 $ 0.246 0.384 0.135 0.061 4
    $ 3 $ 0.04 0.235 0.853 0.387 1
    $ 4 $ 0.063 0.242 0.793 0.36 2
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 4.  Notations

    sets
    $ I $ The set of products indexed by $ i $
    $ J $ The set of vendors indexed by j
    $ K $ The set of vehicles indexed by $ k $
    $ T $ The set of periods indexed by $ t $
    Decision variables
    $ q_{ijt} $ Amount of $ i^{th} $ product ordered to $ j^{th} $ vendor in $ t^{th} $ period.
    $ x_{ijt} $ Binary variable taking the value of 1 when $ j^{th} $ vendor is selected to supply.
    $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period; otherwise, it is equal to 0.
    $ q_{ijkt} $ Amount of $ i^{th} $ product ordered to $ j^{th} $ vendor by $ k^{th} $ vehicle in $ t^{th} $ period.
    Parameters
    $ c_{ijt} $ Ordering cost of $ j^{th} $ vendor for $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period.
    $ h_{it} $ Unit holding cost of $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ w_{j} $ Weight of $ j^{th} $ vendor (see Table 2).
    $ B_t $ Maximum budget in $ t^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ D_{it} $ The demand of $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ D_{ijt} $ The demand of $ i^{th} $ product for $ j^{th} $ vendor in $ t^{th} $ period.
    $ P_{it} $ The selling price of $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period.
    $ p_{ij} $ Production rate of $ i^{th} $ product for $ j^{th} $ vendor.
    $ V{S_{it}} $ Unit salvages value of $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ C{S_{it}} $ Unit the shortage cost of $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ C'_{ijt} $ The purchase price of $ j^{th} $ vendor for $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period.
    $ Maxca{p_{it}} $ Maximum holding capacity for $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ MaxB_{it} $ Maximum purchase capacity for $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ MaxV_{ik} $ Maximum vehicle capacity of $ k^{th} $ vehicle to transporting $ i^{th} $ product to the retailer.
    $ F{t_{ijt}} $ Production and delivery time of $ j^{th} $ vendor for $ i^{th} $ product in $ i^{th} $ period.
    $ L{T_{it}} $ Delivery leads time for $ i^{th} $ product in $ i^{th} $ period for the retailer.
    $ O_{ijt} $ Maximum production capacity of $ j^{th} $ vendor for $ i^{th} $ product in $ t^{th} $period.
    $ \lambda '_{ijt} $ The failure rate of $ i^{th} $ product ordered to $ j^{th} $ vendor in $ i^{th} $ period.
    $ \lambda _{kt} $ The failure rate of $ k^{th} $ vehicle in $ i^{th} $ period.
    $ \pi_{ij} $ The minimum period in which $ i^{th} $ product purchased from $ j^{th} $ vendor not failed.
    $ \tau _k $ The minimum period in that $ k^{th} $ vehicle has not failed.
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 5.  The average and variance related to the distribution of demand

    Product $ Demand\, \, Distribution $
    $ Product1 $ $ N(17000, \, 500) $
    $ Product2 $ $ N(11000, \, 400) $
    $ Product3 $ $ N(14000, \, 700) $
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 6.  The results of the objective functions using GA and PSO

    Solutions of models $ Z_{1} ^{*} $ $ Z_{2} ^{*} $ $ Z_{3} ^{*} $
    GA 43000000 25726 106151
    PSO 41567000 22345 965443
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 7.  Controllable factors and their levels

    Parameter Notation Level Optimal level
    Level 1 Level 2 Level 3
    GA Popsize $ A $ 100 150 200 100
    $ p_{c} $ B 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.4
    $ p_{m} $ C 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3
    PSO $ C_{1} $ A 1 1.5 2 1.5
    $ C_{2} $ B 1 1.5 2 1
    $ W $ C 0.8 0.8 0.95 0.9
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 8.  The results of the suggested model by GA

    product vendor lpmetric
    $ q_{ijt} $ $ x_{ijt} $
    t=1 t=2 t=1 t=2
    product1 vendor1 0 15700 0 1
    product2 12000 13000 1 1
    product3 17000 0 1 0
    product1 vendor2 0 0 0 0
    product2 17000 0 1 0
    product3 0 17000 0 1
    product1 vendor3 17000 0 1 0
    product2 13000 16000 1 1
    product3 10000 13000 1 1
    product1 vendor4 0 0 0 0
    product2 0 13000 0 1
    product3 16000 12000 1 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 9.  The results of the suggested model by PSo

    product vendor PSO
    $ q_{ijt} $ $ x_{ijt} $
    t=1 t=2 t=1 t=2
    product1 vendor1 0 14300 0 1
    product2 11000 12700 1 1
    product3 16800 0 1 0
    product1 vendor2 0 0 0 0
    product2 16100 0 1 0
    product3 0 15800 0 1
    product1 vendor3 16000 0 1 0
    product2 11800 15400 1 1
    product3 9500 11900 1 1
    product1 vendor4 0 0 0 0
    product2 0 12400 0 1
    product3 15100 10900 1 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 10.  The results of solving using LP-metric for $ \gamma_1 $ different

    $ \gamma_1 $ $ Z_1 $ $ Z_2 $ $ Z_3 $
    1 1 0.833 0.871
    0.9 1 0.833 0.871
    0.8 1 0.833 0.871
    0.7 0.914 0.869 0.886
    0.6 0.914 0.869 0.886
    0.5 0.914 0.869 0.886
    0.4 0.914 0.869 0.886
    0.3 0.895 0.902 0.899
    0.2 0.895 0.902 0.899
    0.1 0.856 1 0.928
    0 0.856 1 0.928
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 11.  The results of solving using LP-metric for $ \gamma_2 $ different

    $ \gamma_2 $ $ Z_1 $ $ Z_2 $ $ Z_3 $
    1 0.905 1 0.871
    0.9 0.905 1 0.871
    0.8 0.907 0.902 0.928
    0.7 0.907 0.902 0.928
    0.6 0.907 0.869 0.935
    0.5 0.907 0.869 0.935
    0.4 0.907 0.869 0.935
    0.3 0.91 0.833 0.935
    0.2 0.91 0.833 0.935
    0.1 0.914 0.782 0.937
    0 0.914 0.782 0.937
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 12.  The results of solving using LP-metric for $ \gamma_3 $ different

    $ \gamma_3 $ $ Z_1 $ $ Z_2 $ $ Z_3 $
    1 0.902 0.833 1
    0.9 0.902 0.833 1
    0.8 0.902 0.833 1
    0.7 0.902 0.869 0.934
    0.6 0.902 0.869 0.934
    0.5 0.907 0.869 0.928
    0.4 0.907 0.869 0.928
    0.3 0.907 0.902 0.871
    0.2 0.907 0.902 0.871
    0.1 0.883 0.902 0.871
    0 0.883 0.902 0.871
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 13.  The value of change in the first objective function

    average Demand t=1 t=2
    product1 product2 product3 product1 product2 product3
    -20 -6.9 -5.2 -7.5 -7.3 -5.4 -8
    -10 -3.6 -2.5 -4.3 -3.4 -2.5 -4.5
    0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    10 5.5 1.8 6.3 6 2 6.5
    20 12.2 4.8 13.8 12.6 5 14.5
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 14.  The value of change in the second objective function

    Average Demand t=1 t=2
    product1 product2 product3 product1 product2 product3
    -20 -12.24 -6.38 -9.56 -6.12 -9.56 -11.16
    -10 -6.12 -3.2 -4.78 -3.06 -4.78 -5.58
    0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    10 6.12 3.2 4.78 3.06 4.78 5.58
    20 12.24 6.38 9.56 6.12 9.56 11.16
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 15.  The value of change in the third objective function

    Average Demand t=1 t=2
    product1 product2 product3 product1 product2 product3
    -20 -1.12 -3.09 -3.256 -1.18 -3.17 -3.48
    -10 -0.5 -1.54 -1.633 -0.5 -1.58 -1.74
    0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    10 0.61 1.86 1.802 0.67 1.65 1.84
    20 1.25 3.2 3.407 1.23 3.42 3.85
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 16.  Data related to Ordering cost

    $ C_{ijt} $ t = 1 t = 2
    vendor1 Product1 100000 130000
    Product2 120000 115000
    Product3 110000 110000
    vendor2 Product1 120000 105000
    Product2 120000 115000
    Product3 110000 110000
    vendor3 Product1 110000 120000
    Product2 125000 128000
    Product3 120000 115000
    vendor4 Product1 115000 100000
    Product2 120000 115000
    Product3 130000 125000
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 17.  Data related to maximum production capacity

    $ O_{ijt} $ t = 1 t = 2
    vendor1 Product1 17000 20000
    Product2 17000 16000
    Product3 15000 17000
    vendor2 Product1 21000 16000
    Product2 17000 17000
    Product3 18000 18000
    vendor3 Product1 16000 17000
    Product2 17500 16000
    Product3 15500 19000
    vendor4 Product1 14500 17500
    Product2 19000 16000
    Product3 18000 18000
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 18.  Data related to the purchase price

    $ C'_{ijt} $ t = 1 t = 2
    vendor 1 Product1 35000 40000
    Product2 38000 38000
    Product3 60000 60000
    vendor 2 Product1 40000 40000
    Product2 45000 45000
    Product3 55000 55000
    vendor 3 Product1 44000 44000
    Product2 45000 45000
    Product3 50000 50000
    vendor 4 Product1 40000 40000
    Product2 55000 60000
    Product3 50000 50000
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 19.  Data related to production and delivery time

    $ F{t_{ijt}} $ t = 1 t = 2
    vendor1 Product1 18 18
    Product2 20 20
    Product3 15 15
    vendor2 Product1 20 20
    Product2 15 15
    Product3 20 20
    vendor3 Product1 20 20
    Product2 10 10
    Product3 12 12
    vendor4 Product1 10 10
    Product2 20 20
    Product3 14 14
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 20.  Data related to the failure rate of $ i^{th} $ product ordered to $ j^{th} $ vendor

    $ {\lambda '_{ijt}} $ t = 1 t = 2
    vendor1 Product1 0.1 0.16
    Product2 0.44 0.46
    Product3 0.31 0.33
    vendor2 Product1 0.15 0.16
    Product2 042 035
    Product3 025 028
    vendor3 Product1 0.18 0.20
    Product2 0.38 0.3
    Product3 0.18 0.15
    vendor4 Product1 0.21 0.17
    Product2 0.38 0.34
    Product3 0.27 0.22
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 21.  Data related to the failure rate of the $ k^{th} $ vehicle in $ t^{th} $ period

    $ {\lambda _{kt}} $ t = 1 t = 2
    Vehicle 1 0.4 0.34
    Vehicle 2 0.34 0.40
    Vehicle 3 0.21 0.28
    Vehicle 1 0.42 0.34
    Vehicle 2 0.42 0.35
    Vehicle 3 0.28 0.27
    Vehicle 1 0.37 0.38
    Vehicle 2 0.32 0.3
    Vehicle 3 0.16 0.15
    Vehicle 1 0.43 0.42
    Vehicle 2 0.38 0.30
    Vehicle 3 0.27 0.21
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 22.  Data related to delivery lead time

    $ LT _{it} $ t = 1 t = 2
    Product 1 24 34
    Product 2 72 18
    Product 3 12 72
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 23.  Data related to maximum vehicle capacity

    Max $ V _{ik} $ Machine 1 Machine 2 Machine 3 Machine 4 Machine 5
    vendor 1 2700 1900 1400 1800 1590
    vendor 2 2500 1810 1350 1700 1600
    vendor 3 2600 1900 1380 1760 1580
    vendor 4 2500 1850 1400 1700 1620
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 24.  Data related to holding cost, the shortage cost, the salvage value, the selling price, maximum warehouse capacity, maximum purchase capacity

    Parameters t = 1 t = 2
    $ {h_{it}} $ Product1 600 600
    Product2 550 550
    Product3 650 650
    $ C{S_{it}} $ Product1 6000 6000
    Product2 5000 5000
    Product3 5000 4500
    $ V{S_{it}} $ Product1 3000 3000
    Product2 1500 2500
    Product3 1500 2000
    $ Maxca{p_{it}} $ Product1 300 330
    Product2 280 250
    Product3 250 300
    $ {P_{it}} $ Product1 53000 53000
    Product2 45000 45000
    Product3 67000 67000
    $ Max{B_{it}} $ Product1 20000 20000
    Product2 45000 45000
    Product3 45000 45000
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
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