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Optimal allocation algorithm of financial re-sources based on return-risk equilibrium

  • *Corresponding author: Yankui Xu

    *Corresponding author: Yankui Xu
Abstract / Introduction Full Text(HTML) Figure(7) / Table(7) Related Papers Cited by
  • To effectively balance the relationship between financial resource allocation, returns, and risks, a financial resource op-timization allocation method based on the Bayesian filtering algorithm is proposed. This method combines prior infor-mation and observed data to predict and update financial market risks through Bayesian filtering, thereby establishing a profit-risk balanced financial resource optimization allocation model. Utilizing fuzzy set theory, the multi-objective op-timization problem is transformed into a single-objective optimization problem, specifically maximizing the return-risk index. By employing an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm, the optimal allocation of financial resources and input ratios are determined. The research results demonstrate that within a risk division range of $ 3*10^{-5} $, this meth-od achieves maximized returns, effectively balancing returns and risks in financial resource allocation, validating its practicality and effectiveness.

    Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary: 58F15, 58F17; Secondary: 53C35.

    Citation:

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  • Figure 1.  Financial market risk prediction model based on Bayesian filtering

    Figure 2.  The fitness value change curve of the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm before and after solving the problem

    Figure 3.  Using Bayesian filtering algorithm for pre Sharp ratio

    Figure 4.  Sharpe ratio after using Bayesian filtering algorithm

    Figure 5.  Pareto efficiency test results of different methods under A1 project

    Figure 6.  Pareto efficiency test results of different methods under A2 project

    Figure 7.  Pareto efficiency test results of different methods under A3 project

    Table 1.  Investment parameters of different property projects on Plot A-1

    Type Expected return Standard deviation Correlation coefficient
    Residence Shops Apartment Villa
    Residence 0.13 0.09 1
    Shops 0.21 0.19 0.76 1
    Apartment 0.19 0.19 0.91 0.81 1
    Villa 0.26 0.33 0.86 0.76 0.81 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 2.  Investment parameters of different property projects on Plot A-2

    Type Expected return Standard deviation Correlation coefficient
    Residence Shops Apartment Villa
    Residence 0.11 0.17 1
    Shops 0.23 0.18 0.76 1
    Apartment 0.26 0.16 0.91 0.81 1
    Villa 0.31 0.29 0.86 0.76 0.81 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 3.  Investment parameters of different property projects on Plot A-3

    Type Expected return Standard deviation Correlation coefficient
    Residence Shops Apartment Villa
    Residence 0.16 0.12 1
    Shops 0.19 0.26 0.76 1
    Apartment 0.21 0.17 0.91 0.81 1
    Villa 0.26 0.31 0.86 0.76 0.81 1
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 4.  Parameter settings for improved particle swarm optimization algorithm

    Type Numerical value
    Population size 55
    Maximum Number Of Iterations 255
    Maximum inertia weight 0.9
    Learning Factor 1 1.86
    Learning Factor 2 2.1
    What is maximum speed of a Particles 25
    What is minimum speed of a Particles -25
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV

    Table 5.  Comparison of financial resource optimization allocation performance of different methods

    Method Computational Complexity (Running Time/ms) Time Complexity (Execution Time/ms) Space Complexity (Memory Usage/MB)
    Proposed Method 12.5 5.8 85
    Chaos-based Financial Portfolio Selection Method 22.8 12.9 136
    Online Deep Reinforcement Learning and Restricted Stacked Autoencoder-based Financial Portfolio Optimization Method 32.5 15.8 257
    Z-number Theory and Fuzzy Neural Network-based Portfolio Selection Method 26.7 20.4 154
    Financial Portfolio Optimization Method integrating Stochastic Programming and Financial Risk 19.8 18.8 167
    Financial Portfolio Optimization Method based on Rank-dependent Utility 34.6 13.4 198
    Scheduling Method based on Genetic Algorithm 25.8 10.2 110
    Adaptive Fuzzy Model Predictive Control Method 28.7 12.7 128
     | Show Table
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    Table 6.  Average Pareto efficiency values of different asset data

    Asset Type Average Pareto efficiency value Standard deviation Minimum value Maximum value
    Enterprise projects (A1-A3) 0.82 0.08 0.68 0.94
    Stock 0.65 0.07 0.54 0.76
    Treasury bond futures 0.50 0.06 0.42 0.58
     | Show Table
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    Table 7.  Tukey's post inspection results

    Asset Type Mean difference P-value Significance
    Enterprise projects vs stocks +0.17 < 0.001 Yes
    Enterprise project vs treasury bond futures +0.32 < 0.001 Yes
    Stock vs treasury bond bond futures +0.15 < 0.001 Yes
     | Show Table
    DownLoad: CSV
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