| Type | Expected return | Standard deviation | Correlation coefficient | |||
| Residence | Shops | Apartment | Villa | |||
| Residence | 0.13 | 0.09 | 1 | |||
| Shops | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.76 | 1 | ||
| Apartment | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.91 | 0.81 | 1 | |
| Villa | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 1 |
To effectively balance the relationship between financial resource allocation, returns, and risks, a financial resource op-timization allocation method based on the Bayesian filtering algorithm is proposed. This method combines prior infor-mation and observed data to predict and update financial market risks through Bayesian filtering, thereby establishing a profit-risk balanced financial resource optimization allocation model. Utilizing fuzzy set theory, the multi-objective op-timization problem is transformed into a single-objective optimization problem, specifically maximizing the return-risk index. By employing an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm, the optimal allocation of financial resources and input ratios are determined. The research results demonstrate that within a risk division range of $ 3*10^{-5} $, this meth-od achieves maximized returns, effectively balancing returns and risks in financial resource allocation, validating its practicality and effectiveness.
| Citation: |
Table 1. Investment parameters of different property projects on Plot A-1
| Type | Expected return | Standard deviation | Correlation coefficient | |||
| Residence | Shops | Apartment | Villa | |||
| Residence | 0.13 | 0.09 | 1 | |||
| Shops | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.76 | 1 | ||
| Apartment | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.91 | 0.81 | 1 | |
| Villa | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 1 |
Table 2. Investment parameters of different property projects on Plot A-2
| Type | Expected return | Standard deviation | Correlation coefficient | |||
| Residence | Shops | Apartment | Villa | |||
| Residence | 0.11 | 0.17 | 1 | |||
| Shops | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.76 | 1 | ||
| Apartment | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.91 | 0.81 | 1 | |
| Villa | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 1 |
Table 3. Investment parameters of different property projects on Plot A-3
| Type | Expected return | Standard deviation | Correlation coefficient | |||
| Residence | Shops | Apartment | Villa | |||
| Residence | 0.16 | 0.12 | 1 | |||
| Shops | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.76 | 1 | ||
| Apartment | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.91 | 0.81 | 1 | |
| Villa | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.86 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 1 |
Table 4. Parameter settings for improved particle swarm optimization algorithm
| Type | Numerical value |
| Population size | 55 |
| Maximum Number Of Iterations | 255 |
| Maximum inertia weight | 0.9 |
| Learning Factor 1 | 1.86 |
| Learning Factor 2 | 2.1 |
| What is maximum speed of a Particles | 25 |
| What is minimum speed of a Particles | -25 |
Table 5. Comparison of financial resource optimization allocation performance of different methods
| Method | Computational Complexity (Running Time/ms) | Time Complexity (Execution Time/ms) | Space Complexity (Memory Usage/MB) |
| Proposed Method | 12.5 | 5.8 | 85 |
| Chaos-based Financial Portfolio Selection Method | 22.8 | 12.9 | 136 |
| Online Deep Reinforcement Learning and Restricted Stacked Autoencoder-based Financial Portfolio Optimization Method | 32.5 | 15.8 | 257 |
| Z-number Theory and Fuzzy Neural Network-based Portfolio Selection Method | 26.7 | 20.4 | 154 |
| Financial Portfolio Optimization Method integrating Stochastic Programming and Financial Risk | 19.8 | 18.8 | 167 |
| Financial Portfolio Optimization Method based on Rank-dependent Utility | 34.6 | 13.4 | 198 |
| Scheduling Method based on Genetic Algorithm | 25.8 | 10.2 | 110 |
| Adaptive Fuzzy Model Predictive Control Method | 28.7 | 12.7 | 128 |
Table 6. Average Pareto efficiency values of different asset data
| Asset Type | Average Pareto efficiency value | Standard deviation | Minimum value | Maximum value |
| Enterprise projects (A1-A3) | 0.82 | 0.08 | 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Stock | 0.65 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 0.76 |
| Treasury bond futures | 0.50 | 0.06 | 0.42 | 0.58 |
Table 7. Tukey's post inspection results
| Asset Type | Mean difference | P-value | Significance |
| Enterprise projects vs stocks | +0.17 | < 0.001 | Yes |
| Enterprise project vs treasury bond futures | +0.32 | < 0.001 | Yes |
| Stock vs treasury bond bond futures | +0.15 | < 0.001 | Yes |
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Financial market risk prediction model based on Bayesian filtering
The fitness value change curve of the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm before and after solving the problem
Using Bayesian filtering algorithm for pre Sharp ratio
Sharpe ratio after using Bayesian filtering algorithm
Pareto efficiency test results of different methods under A1 project
Pareto efficiency test results of different methods under A2 project
Pareto efficiency test results of different methods under A3 project