• Previous Article
    Existence of multiple-stable equilibria for a multi-drug-resistant model of mycobacterium tuberculosis
  • MBE Home
  • This Issue
  • Next Article
    Input-dependent wave propagations in asymmetric cellular automata: Possible behaviors of feed-forward loop in biological reaction network
2008, 5(3): 429-435. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2008.5.429

The effect of patterns of infectiousness on epidemic size


Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Puerto Rico-RUM, Puerto Rico


Department of Health Care and Epidemiology, University of British Columbia, Canada


Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Arizona State University, United States

Received  January 2007 Revised  May 2008 Published  June 2008

In the course of an infectious disease in a population, each in fected individual presents a different pattern of progress through the disease, producing a corresponding pattern of infectiousness. We postulate a stochastic infectiousness process for each individual with an almost surely finite integral, or total infectiousness. Individuals also have different contact rates. We show that the distribution of the final epidemic size depends only on the contact rates and the integrated infectiousness. As a particular case, zero infectiousness on an initial time interval corresponds to a period of latency, which does not affect the final epidemic size in general stochastic and deterministic epidemic models, as is well known from the literature.
Citation: Luis F. Gordillo, Stephen A. Marion, Priscilla E. Greenwood. The effect of patterns of infectiousness on epidemic size. Mathematical Biosciences & Engineering, 2008, 5 (3) : 429-435. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2008.5.429

Nguyen Huy Tuan. On an initial and final value problem for fractional nonclassical diffusion equations of Kirchhoff type. Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - B, 2020  doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2020354


Siyang Cai, Yongmei Cai, Xuerong Mao. A stochastic differential equation SIS epidemic model with regime switching. Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - B, 2020  doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2020317


Patrick W. Dondl, Martin Jesenko. Threshold phenomenon for homogenized fronts in random elastic media. Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - S, 2021, 14 (1) : 353-372. doi: 10.3934/dcdss.2020329


Shasha Hu, Yihong Xu, Yuhan Zhang. Second-Order characterizations for set-valued equilibrium problems with variable ordering structures. Journal of Industrial & Management Optimization, 2020  doi: 10.3934/jimo.2020164


Hai-Feng Huo, Shi-Ke Hu, Hong Xiang. Traveling wave solution for a diffusion SEIR epidemic model with self-protection and treatment. Electronic Research Archive, , () : -. doi: 10.3934/era.2020118


Cheng Peng, Zhaohui Tang, Weihua Gui, Qing Chen, Jing He. A bidirectional weighted boundary distance algorithm for time series similarity computation based on optimized sliding window size. Journal of Industrial & Management Optimization, 2021, 17 (1) : 205-220. doi: 10.3934/jimo.2019107


Tien-Yu Lin, Bhaba R. Sarker, Chien-Jui Lin. An optimal setup cost reduction and lot size for economic production quantity model with imperfect quality and quantity discounts. Journal of Industrial & Management Optimization, 2021, 17 (1) : 467-484. doi: 10.3934/jimo.2020043


Shiqi Ma. On recent progress of single-realization recoveries of random Schrödinger systems. Electronic Research Archive, , () : -. doi: 10.3934/era.2020121


Yangrong Li, Shuang Yang, Qiangheng Zhang. Odd random attractors for stochastic non-autonomous Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equations without dissipation. Electronic Research Archive, 2020, 28 (4) : 1529-1544. doi: 10.3934/era.2020080


Yongge Tian, Pengyang Xie. Simultaneous optimal predictions under two seemingly unrelated linear random-effects models. Journal of Industrial & Management Optimization, 2020  doi: 10.3934/jimo.2020168


Leanne Dong. Random attractors for stochastic Navier-Stokes equation on a 2D rotating sphere with stable Lévy noise. Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - B, 2020  doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2020352

2018 Impact Factor: 1.313


  • PDF downloads (18)
  • HTML views (0)
  • Cited by (1)

[Back to Top]