Threshold dynamics of an SIR epidemic model with hybrid of multigroup and patch structures

Toshikazu Kuniya; Yoshiaki Muroya; Yoichi Enatsu

doi:10.3934/mbe.2014.11.1375

Article Contents

2014, Volume 11, Issue 6: 1375-1393. Doi: 10.3934/mbe.2014.11.1375

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Threshold dynamics of an SIR epidemic model with hybrid of multigroup and patch structures

1.
Graduate School of System Informatics, Kobe University, 1-1 Rokkodai-cho, Nada-ku, Kobe 657-8501
2.
Department of Mathematics, Waseda University, 3-4-1 Ohkubo, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 169-8555
3.
Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba Meguro-ku, Tokyo 153-8914

Received: July 2013

Revised: May 2014

Published: September 2014

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Abstract

In this paper, we formulate an SIR epidemic model with hybrid of multigroup and patch structures, which can be regarded as a model for the geographical spread of infectious diseases or a multi-group model with perturbation. We show that if a threshold value, which corresponds to the well-known basic reproduction number $R_0$, is less than or equal to unity, then the disease-free equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically stable. We also show that if the threshold value is greater than unity, then the model is uniformly persistent and has an endemic equilibrium. Moreover, using a Lyapunov functional technique, we obtain a sufficient condition under which the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. The sufficient condition is satisfied if the transmission coefficients in the same groups are large or the per capita recovery rates are small.

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Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary: 34D20, 34D23; Secondary: 92D30.

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