Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk
December 2021 , Volume 6 , Issue 4
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This paper introduces and represents conditional coherent risk measures as essential suprema of conditional expectations over a convex set of probability measures and as distorted expectations given a concave distortion function. A model is then developed for the bid and ask prices of a European-type asset by a conic formulation. The price process is governed by a modified geometric Brownian motion whose drift and diffusion coefficients depend on a Markov chain. The bid and ask prices of a European-type asset are then characterized using conic quantization.
This paper establishes an existence and uniqueness result for the adapted solution of a general time interval multidimensional backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), where the generator
The existence, uniqueness, and strict comparison for solutions to a BSDE driven by a multi-dimensional RCLL martingale are developed. The goal is to develop a general multi-asset framework encompassing a wide spectrum of non-linear financial models with jumps, including as particular cases, the setups studied by Peng and Xu [
This paper analyzes Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) based partial hedging and its applications on equity-linked life insurance contracts in a Jump-Diffusion market model with transaction costs. A nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE) that an option value process inclusive of transaction costs should satisfy is provided. In particular, the closed-form expression of a European call option price is given. Meanwhile, the CVaR-based partial hedging strategy for a call option is derived explicitly. Both the CVaR hedging price and the weights of the hedging portfolio are based on an adjusted volatility. We obtain estimated values of expected total hedging errors and total transaction costs by a simulation method. Furthermore,our results are implemented to derive target clients’ survival probabilities and age of equity-linked life insurance contracts.
In this paper, we extend the definition of conditional
This paper is dedicated to solving high-dimensional coupled FBSDEs with non-Lipschitz diffusion coefficients numerically. Under mild conditions, we provided a posterior estimate of the numerical solution that holds for any time duration. This posterior estimate validates the convergence of the recently proposed Deep BSDE method. In addition, we developed a numerical scheme based on the Deep BSDE method and presented numerical examples in financial markets to demonstrate the high performance.
In this paper, we establish some general forms of the law of the iterated logarithm for independent random variables in a sub-linear expectation space, where the random variables are not necessarily identically distributed. Exponential inequalities for the maximum sum of independent random variables and Kolmogorov’s converse exponential inequalities are established as tools for showing the law of the iterated logarithm. As an application, the sufficient and necessary conditions of the law of the iterated logarithm for independent and identically distributed random variables under the sub-linear expectation are obtained. In the paper, it is also shown that if the sub-linear expectation space is rich enough, it will have no continuous capacity. The laws of the iterated logarithm are established without the assumption on the continuity of capacities.
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